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Research Interests
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Time
Series Econometrics and Dynamical Systems
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Spectral Methods and Singular Spectrum Analysis
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Macroeconometric
Model Building
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Economic Fluctuations (impulse - propagation and endogenous mechanisms)
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Monetary Policy
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Complex Systems and
Heterogeneous Agents Dynamics
Memberships
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Fellow
of the Euro Area Business Cycle Network
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Research
Fellow of the Centre of Planning and Economic Research, Greece
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Swiss Society of
Economics and Statistics
Selected Courses Taught in New York College, Athens,
Greece, and the Democritus University, Greece
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Statistics
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Probability and Statistics
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Econometrics 1 (Introductory), Econometrics 2 (Time Series),
Econometrics 3 (Applied Econometrics)
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Mathematics
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Quantitative Macroeconomics
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Monetary Theory and Policy
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Industrial Economics
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Greek
Economy
Reviewer for the Following Journals
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International Journal of Financial Economics and Econometrics,
University of Portsmouth, UK
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Energy
Economics, Elsevier
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The
Manchester School, Journal of the University of Manchester, UK
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Economics and Finance Notes
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International Journal of Scientific and
Statistical Computing (IJSSC)
Publications in Academic Journals
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Interest Rate Transmission in Greece: Did EMU Cause a Structural
Break?
Dionysios Chionis and Costas
Leon. Journal of Policy Modeling, Vol. 28, Issue 4, 2006,
Elsevier.
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Comovements in the European Financial Markets - Do They Change over
Time? A VECM Approach.
Costas Leon and George Filis.
Transactions on Business and Economics, 3(3), Journal of the
World Scientific and Engineering Academy and Society, 2006.
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Cyclical Fluctuations and Transmission Mechanisms of the GDP,
Investments and the Stock Exchange in Greece: Evidence from Spectral and
VAR Analysis.
Costas Leon and George Filis. Journal
of Money, Investment and Banking. ISSN 1450-288X Issue 6, 2008.
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Synchronization of the Polish and the European Business Cycles.
Dionysios Chionis and Costas Leon. Journal of Economic Asymmetries,
Vol.6, No. 1, June 2009, ISSN 1703-4949.
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Are EU and Bulgarian Business Cycles Synchronized?
Christina Beneki, George Filis, Christos
Floros and Costas Leon. Forthcoming in Journal of Money, Investment
and Banking. ISSN 1450-288X. Issue 14, 2010.
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Stochastic Shocks of the European and the Greek Economic Fluctuations.
Nikolaos Georgikopoulos and Costas Leon.
International Journal of Business Policy and Economics Vol. 3, No
1, 2010: 89-107.
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Signal Extraction and Forecasting of the UK Tourism Income Time Series.
A Singular Spectrum Approach.
Christina Beneki, Bruno Eeckels and
Costas Leon. Journal of Forecasting, 9 March 2011,
DOI:10:1002/for.1220.
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Tourism Income and
Economic Growth in Greece: Empirical Evidence from their Cyclical
Components. Bruno Eeckels, George
Filis and Costas Leon. Forthcoming in Tourism Economics.
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Presentations in International Conferences
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An
Application of Dynamic Systems in Economics.
Costas Leon and Christina
Beneki. Presentation in the 19th Conference
of Mathematics, organized by the Hellenic Mathematical Society, 8-10
November 2002 at the Democritus University, Greece. The paper is
published in the proceedings of the Conference.
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Modelling Interest Rate Transmission Dynamics in
Greece: Is there any Structural Break After
EMU?
Presented in the 3rd International Conference of the National Bulgarian
Bank in Econometric Modelling and
Forecasting, 16 & 17 May 2005, in Varna,
Bulgaria.
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Interactions Âetween Options and Stocks
within a VAR Framework: Evidence from Greece.
Costas Leon and George
Filis. Published in Lecture Series on Computer and Computational
Sciences, Vol. 4B. Advances in Computational Methods in Sciences and Engineering, 2005. Selected Articles. Eds:
Th. Simos and G.
Maroulis, Brill Academic Publishers. This paper had been
presented in the 2nd International Symposium of the Advances of
Financial Forecasting, in Loutraki, 21-26
October, 2005, Greece.
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The
Transmission Mechanism of the Cyclical Components of the Greek Output,
Investments and Stock Exchange. Costas
Leon and George Filis. Presented in the
1st International Conference on Accounting and Finance, 31/8-1/9 2006,
University of Macedonia, Thessaloniki,
Greece.
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Cyclical Movements of Tourist Income and GDP and their Transmission
Mechanism. Evidence from Greece.
Costas Leon, George
Filis and Bruno Eeckels. 24th
International EUROCHRIE Conference, University of Aegean,
Thessaloniki, 26-28 October 2006.
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Time-Varying Dynamics in the Greek Stock Market Integration with the EMU
Stock Markets.
Costas Leon and George
Filis. 7th International Conference on Applied Mathematics in
Economics and Business (MCBE06), Cavtat,
Croatia, 13-15 June 2006.
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Econometrics Trends and Tourism Research: Evidence from two Leading
Journals.
Costas Leon, Bruno
Eeckels and George Filis. Abstract
accepted for the 25th Eurochrie Conference,
Leeds, UK, May 2007.
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The
Taylor Rule. Can it be Supported by the Data?
Costas Leon. 1st International Workshop in
Economics and Finance, University of Peloponnesus, Greece, June 2007.
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Econometric Analysis of TV Advertising Prices and TV Ratings.
Costas Leon, George
Filis and Bruno Eeckels. 1st Biannual
International Conference “Strategic Developments in Services Marketing,
27 – 29 September, 2007 Chios Island,
Greece. Jointly organized by the University of the Aegean and the
University of Glasgow.
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Aspects of Monetary Transmission Mechanism: Measuring the Interest Rate
Mechanism in Greece.
Dionysios Chionis
and Costas Leon. Submitted in the Royal
Economic Society Conference 2008, University of Warwick, Coventry,
United Kingdom, 17-19 March 2008.
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Synchronization of the Polish and the European Business Cycles.
Dionysios Chionis
and Costas Leon. 65th International Atlantic
Economic Conference, Warsaw, Poland, 9 – 13 April 2008.
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Business Cycle Synchronization between Bulgaria and the European Union:
Evidence from Cross Spectral and VAR Analysis.
Costas Leon, George
Filis and Bruno Eeckels.
5th International Conference on Applied Financial Economics,
The University of the Aegean,
Samos Island, Greece, 3-5 July, 2008.
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A
Dynamic Correlation Approach of the Swiss Tourism Income.
Costas Leon and Bruno Eeckels.
International Conference Advances in Tourism Economics 2009, APIDT –
Portuguese Association for Tourism Research and Development, Lisbon,
23-24 April, 2009.
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Signal
Extraction and Forecasting of the UK Tourism Income Time Series. A
Singular Spectrum Approach.
Christina Beneki, Bruno
Eeckels, Costas Leon. Presented in
the 1st Workshop in Tourism Economics, Bolzano
University, Brunico, Italy, 28-29 September
2009.
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Singular Spectrum Analysis as a Filtering Mechanism for the European
Industrial Production Index. Christina Beneki, Bruno
Eeckels and Costas
Leon, Conference at Clute Institute, Dublin, Ireland, 7-10 June 2010,
received the Best Session Paper Award.
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Singular Spectrum and Cross-Spectral Analysis of the USA GDP and
Unemployment Time Series. Christina Beneki and Costas Leon. UK-China
Workshop on SSA. 20-22 September 2010. School of Mathematics, Cardiff,
UK.
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The Decomposition of the USA GDP via a Multi-Stage Singular Spectrum
Analysis. Christina Beneki, Hossein Hassani and Costas Leon. 31st
Annual International Symposium on Forecasting organized by The
International Institute of Forecasters. SSA Workshop, University of
Economics, Prague, Czech Republic, 26-29 June 2011.
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Synchronization Between Euro Area and Switzerland Based on Singular
Spectrum. Nikolaos Georgikopoulos and Costas Leon. 72nd
International Atlantic Economic Association Conference,
Washington, D.C. USA, 20-23 October 2011.
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Decomposition of the European GDP based
on Singular Spectrum Analysis. Costas Leon. Annual Meeting of the
Swiss Society of Economics and Statistics. University of Zurich, April
12-13, 2012.
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Evaluation of Singular Spectrum Analysis
Based Seasonal Adjustment Procedure. Christina Beneki and Costas
Leon. The 2012
International Conference on the Singular Spectrum Analysis and its
Applications, Beijing, China, 17-20 May 2012.
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The Singular Spectrum Analysis as a New
Time Series Method in Tourism and Hospitality Research. Costas Leon.
2nd Advances in Hospitality and Tourism Marketing and Management
Conference, Corfu, Greece, 31 May - 3 June 2012.
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Singular Spectrum Analysis and Maximum Entropy Estimator for the
Determination of Economic Fluctuations and Their Synchronization.
Costas Leon, keynote speaker. 1st International Symposium On Business,
Economics & Financial Applications (ISBEFA 2012), 1-2 June 2012,
Kefalonia, Greece.
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The Singular Spectrum Analysis as a
Decomposition Tool of Tourism Time Series. Costas Leon. Eurochrie
2012, Lausanne, Switzerland, 25 - 27 October 2012.
Recent Submissions in Journals
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Singular Spectrum Analysis as a Filtering Mechanism for the European
Industrial Production Index.
Christina Beneki, Bruno
Eeckels and Costas
Leon.
Member of Scientific Committees
1.
1st International Symposium on Business, Economics and Financial
Applications, June 1-2, 2012, Kefalonia, Kefalonia Island, Greece.
Chapters in Books
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Looking at the Monetary Integration: Modelling Interest Rate
Transmission Dynamics in Greece. Is there any Structural Break after
EMU ?
Dionysios
Chionis and Costas
Leon.
In the book Regionalisation, Growth and Economic Integration, Publisher:
Physica-Verlag HD,
2007.
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A Dynamic Correlation Approach of the Swiss Tourism
Income. Costas Leon and Bruno
Eeckels. Forthcoming in Advances in Tourism
Economics: New Developments, Matias,
Álvaro; Nijkamp,
Peter; Sarmento, Manuela (Eds.), 2011.
Working and Discussion Papers
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The European and the Greek Business Cycles. Are They
Synchronized?
Costas
Leon. Munich Personal RePEc Archive,
University Library of Munich University, Germany, 2006.
MPRA
Paper No. 1312.
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The Taylor Rule. Can it be Supported
by the Data?
Costas Leon.
Munich Personal RePEc Archive,
University Library of Munich University, Germany, 2006.
MPRA
Paper
No. 1650.
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Stochastic Shocks of the European and the Greek Economic Fluctuations.
Nikolaos
Georgikopoulos and Costas Leon.
Discussion Paper No 100 of the Centre of Planning and Economic
Research, Greece, April 2009.
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A Dynamic Correlation Approach of the Swiss Tourism
Income. Costas Leon and Bruno
Eeckels.
Munich Personal RePEc Archive, University Library of Munich
University, Germany, 2006.
MPRA Paper
No. 15215.
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Signal Extraction and Forecasting of the UK Tourism
Income Time Series. A Singular Spectrum Approach.
Christina Beneki, Bruno
Eeckels, Costas Leon.
Munich Personal RePEc Archive,
University Library of Munich University, Germany, 2006.
MPRA
Paper
No. 18354.
Publications in the Greek Newspapers and Magazines
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Six publications in the Greek Economic Press
(TASEIS / EPILOGI, AXIA, OPEN MBA – TA NEA, ECONOMICA CHRONIKA)
regarding monetary policy in the Eurozone,
monetary asymmetries, business cycle, international business and
economic theories.
Books
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Subsidization of Interest Rate for the Small and Medium
Size Enterprises
(with Costas
Siriopoulos, Thomas
Anastassiou, Yiannis
Asimakopoulos), Economic Chamber of Greece,
Athens, July 2006.
Presentations and Lectures
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The Monetary Transmission Mechanism.
Democritus University,
Greece, 21 October 2003.
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Optimum Currency Areas: A Critique.
Democritus University,
Greece, 21 October 2004.
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Non Linear Dynamics and Chaos Theory.
With Stratos
Nikolakakis, University of Amsterdam.
New York College,
Greece, 22 December 2003.
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Stochastic Shocks of the European and the Greek Economic Fluctuations.
Nikolaos
Georgikopoulos and Costas Leon.
Centre of Planning and Economic Research, Greece, 28
March 2008.
Notes for Students
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Notes on Mathematical Statistics,
for
the students of Computer Science Department, New York College, Greece,
2003.
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Notes on Econometrics,
for
the students of Business Administration and Economics, New York College,
Greece, 2003.
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Optimal Control Theory,
for
the students of Macroeconomics, Democritus University, Greece, in Greek,
2005.
Current Research
I am currently working on the Singular
Spectrum Analysis and Filtering Methods in Macroeconomic Time Series.
Unpublished Work
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A Forecasting Model for the Athens Stock Exchange: A Multivariate
Cointegrated System Combined with EGARCH
Models.
With Dionysios Chionis.
(in Greek), 2000.
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Econometric Analysis of the Accelerator Model of Investment.
(Theory and Application in Greece, in Greek), 2002.
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